29 Jun · 11:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1577
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Burkacki
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1568
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Burkacki
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.