29 Jun · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1577
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lysakowski
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1548
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~82 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H31-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.