29 Jun · 19:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1550
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sykora
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1563
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~84 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.