29 Jun · 16:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1624
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sikora
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1617
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H25-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.