29 Jun · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1463
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Cerny
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1550
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+87
H2H26-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-13)