29 Jun · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1577
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1605
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+28
H2H17-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.