29 Jun · 22:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1646
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jicha
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1630
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H141-105
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.