29 Jun · 23:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1446
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dusek
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1454
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Dusek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H55-89
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.