29 Jun · 20:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Silhan
ELO 1602
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1646
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+44
H2H21-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.