29 Jun · 22:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radomir Benesz
ELO 1403
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jemelka
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1422
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.