29 Jun · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1624
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sikora
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1605
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H19-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.