29 Jun · 20:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KZ
🇨🇿Karel Zeman
ELO 1452
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zeman
RB
🇨🇿Radomir Benesz
ELO 1403
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+49
H2H11-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.