29 Jun · 21:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1422
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jemelka
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1420
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.