29 Jun · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Ales Krcil
ELO 1560
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Krcil
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1454
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+106
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)