29 Jun · 21:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1623
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1646
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H92-70
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.