29 Jun · 17:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1499
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Melichar
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1398
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Melichar
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+101
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)