29 Jun · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Ales Krcil
ELO 1560
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krcil
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1490
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)