29 Jun · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1543
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jnr
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1495
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+48
H2H11-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.