29 Jun · 21:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1401
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Branny
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1507
FormLWLLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Branny
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+106
H2H18-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-9)