30 Jun · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1465
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1495
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+30
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.