30 Jun · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1459
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Filipek
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1405
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Filipek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H11-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.