30 Jun · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1542
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Langer
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1480
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
🌟Zahradka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+62
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)