30 Jun · 09:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1502
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1488
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+14
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.