30 Jun · 13:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1432
FormWLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Nemec
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1314
FormLLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Nemec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+118
H2H27-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-18)