30 Jun · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1502
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1480
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Zahradka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H23-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.