30 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DD
🇨🇿Dariusz Drozdz
ELO 1589
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Drozdz
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1585
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Drozdz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~82 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H25-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.