30 Jun · 15:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1509
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mandrysz
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1463
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+46
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.