30 Jun · 20:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1555
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1657
FormWWWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+102
H2H113-111
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (113-111)