30 Jun · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1676
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1771
FormLWWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
16%
Elo Gap+95
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)