30 Jun · 16:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1477
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hendrych
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1471
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H19-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.