30 Jun · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1535
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jnr
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1516
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H12-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.