30 Jun · 16:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1453
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zahradka
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1497
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+44
H2H20-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.