30 Jun · 18:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1453
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hendrych
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1477
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H38-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.