30 Jun · 22:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1645
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1657
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H105-142
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.