30 Jun · 20:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1445
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vanous
VM
🇨🇿Vojtech Molin
ELO 1440
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Vanous
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.