30 Jun · 22:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1544
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1590
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+46
H2H49-73
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.