30 Jun · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1676
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1720
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+44
H2H64-56
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.