30 Jun · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1676
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1710
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+34
H2H16-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.