30 Jun · 22:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1555
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stusek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1591
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+36
H2H76-69
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.