30 Jun · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1720
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1771
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+51
H2H17-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.