30 Jun · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1516
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sturma
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1463
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.