30 Jun · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1555
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1645
FormWLWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+90
H2H82-65
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (82-65)