30 Jun · 16:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1509
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sturma
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1516
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H20-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.