30 Jun · 17:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1497
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zahradka
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1477
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H40-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.