30 Jun · 21:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1657
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vorisek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1591
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H171-141
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (171-141)