30 Jun · 21:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1658
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brozek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1594
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H84-74
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-74)