30 Jun · 17:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1517
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jnr
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1527
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.