30 Jun · 18:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1531
FormWLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Arkadiusz
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1339
FormLLWWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Arkadiusz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~85 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+192
H2H41-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-13)