30 Jun · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1509
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fitl
RJ
🇨🇿Roman Jonas
ELO 1452
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)