30 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1527
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Caban
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Caban
ELO 1570
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Caban
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~84 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+43
H2H34-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.